About Us


The Spread Analytics team began as capital markets traders focusing on statistical arbitrage. As avid NFL fans, they hypothesized they could use the same quantitative based methods they used in the equity and futures markets, and transpose them into a pro football handicapping strategy. The theory was proven, and the Spread Analytics System was born. Operating with a consistently high win percentage of  between 53.5% - 59.77% over the past 5 seasons, its time to share the results.

About Us


The Spread Analytics team began as capital markets traders focusing on statistical arbitrage. As avid NFL fans, they hypothesized they could use the same quantitative based methods they used in the equity and futures markets, and transpose them into a pro football handicapping strategy. The theory was proven, and the Spread Analytics System was born. Operating with a consistently high win percentage of  between 53.5% - 59.77% over the past 5 seasons, its time to share the results.

Statistical Sports Handicappers

Spread Analytics System


The Spread Analytics System relies heavily on a proprietary statistical data algorithm with a minor situational overlay. The system will generate 4-8 picks per week on average. All picks should be played with 1 base unit. At times, the system generates picks that far exceed the normal criteria for a play. When this happens, there is opportunity to weight these specific picks more heavily than the standard pick. We call this Added Action. The Added Action will be added in 1/4 unit increments, with a maximum of 1 extra unit per pick. The Added Action is an optional play, as our target win percentage of 52-60pct is based on uniform 1 unit action per pick.


*Line Arbitrage

At times, a pick may be based solely or partially on future line movement. The system is looking to lock in a current line, with the expectation of a favorable line movement prior to game time. For these picks, Added Action will be placed with the goal of placing the offsetting play before game time. The offset may be at the anticipated favorable line, creating a middle opportunity, or it may be just a flat pair off if the line movement does not materialize.